Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.049088 0.057870 0.067699 0.079507 0.093299 0.108891 0.127850
2025-06-29 0.034376 0.045362 0.059033 0.077260 0.100885 0.130438 0.170181
2025-07-06 0.025784 0.037139 0.052476 0.074630 0.105727 0.147735 0.208702
2025-07-13 0.021403 0.033134 0.050083 0.076223 0.115371 0.171651 0.258512
2025-07-20 0.017988 0.029656 0.047533 0.076715 0.122937 0.193043 0.307099
2025-07-27 0.015420 0.026903 0.045442 0.077284 0.130294 0.214607 0.358325
2025-08-03 0.013511 0.024823 0.043984 0.078448 0.138476 0.238140 0.415321
2025-08-10 0.012175 0.023461 0.043440 0.080935 0.148999 0.266523 0.483617
2025-08-17 0.010304 0.020797 0.040182 0.078084 0.149685 0.278061 0.524074
2025-08-24 0.009087 0.019153 0.038501 0.077803 0.154845 0.297871 0.581415
2025-08-31 0.007969 0.017508 0.036557 0.076689 0.158184 0.314578 0.634780
2025-09-07 0.007316 0.016708 0.036145 0.078505 0.167388 0.343280 0.714292
2025-09-14 0.006463 0.015363 0.034462 0.077560 0.171067 0.361994 0.777121
2025-09-21 0.005639 0.013942 0.032416 0.075557 0.172285 0.375951 0.832127
2025-09-28 0.004893 0.012575 0.030277 0.073019 0.171967 0.386611 0.881412
2025-10-05 0.004525 0.012052 0.029970 0.074585 0.180955 0.418099 0.979382
2025-10-12 0.004131 0.011396 0.029250 0.075069 0.187499 0.444943 1.070150
2025-10-19 0.003786 0.010806 0.028602 0.075626 0.194270 0.473038 1.167026
2025-10-26 0.003507 0.010347 0.028212 0.076766 0.202591 0.505640 1.278210
2025-11-02 0.003317 0.010098 0.028322 0.079201 0.214452 0.547952 1.417534
2025-11-09 0.002918 0.009187 0.026548 0.076409 0.212559 0.556674 1.475428
2025-11-16 0.002666 0.008662 0.025745 0.076134 0.217232 0.582212 1.578507
2025-11-23 0.002411 0.008082 0.024704 0.075044 0.219561 0.602043 1.669197